Survey shows Jokowi leading in election day lead-up

JAKARTA, PINUS PRESS - As the Indonesian Presidential Election looms closer, pollster put the incumbent President Jokowi-Ma’ruf pair ahead of Prabowo-Sandiaga in electability. Since August 2018, polls have consistently placed Jokowi’s electability at around 53 to 60 percent, while Prabowo stalled at around mid-30 percent.

The latest poll, made by Australian market research company Roy Morgan on Friday, 1 March 2019 placed Jokowi’s electability at 58 percent with Prabowo at 42 percent. Roy Morgan chief executive officer Michele Levine attributed Jokowi’s lead over Prabowo to improvement in Indonesian’s economy over the last five years. Levine added that Jokowi was particularly strong at rural areas in North Sumatra, Central Java, East Java, and Bali.

Other polls also indicate that Jokowi-Ma’ruf pair is also making progress on Prabowo strongholds, such as Banten and West Java. Charta Politika executive director Yunarto Wijaya said that Jokowi’s choice of Ma’ruf as running mate greatly improved his position in countering the perception is “anti-Islam” in these two traditionally conservative provinces.

However, both sides were careful in reacting with the polls. Jokowi’s campaign spokesperson Raja Juli Antoni said the campaign was happy but they would not be complacent in the lead-up to the election day. Meanwhile, Prabowo’s campaign spokesperson Suhud Aliyudin questioned the survey’s accuracy and said that their internal survey shows that Jokowi’s electability is trending downward while Prabowo’s is trending upward.

Written by: Peter Sidajaya